Lake Victoria: How to predict future floods?

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About the research

Every year, flooding around Lake Victoria affects millions of people around it shores, destroying their homes, displacing families, and claiming hundreds of lives. Despite modern technology, flood forecasting in the region remains limited. That’s where Vincent Ogembo's (VUB) 'Integrated Water Balance Model' comes in: a solution that merges satellite data with local measurements to better understand how water moves in and out of the lake to simulate future flood risks. By modeling different scenarios, this tool will help governments and emergency services anticipate when and where floods may strike — and issue early warnings to at-risk communities.

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Vincent Ogembo
VUB

Vincent Ogembo is a postdoctoral research fellow at Vrije Universiteit Brussels (VUB), specializing in hydroclimatic modelling. His areas of interest include Water Resources, hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling, climate change and land use. With a strong focus on East Africa, his work aims to tackle one of the region’s most pressing environmental challenges: flooding around Lake Victoria. He holds a PhD in Planning (Water Resources Engineering) and has vast experience in water resources, climate modeling, and strategic leadership.

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